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China continues to attract foreign investors, with UBS analysts projecting a six-percent rise in the Shanghai Composite index in 2025, driven by improved corporate earnings and policy support. Key sectors of interest include technology, high-end manufacturing, and consumer staples. However, consumer and corporate confidence remains crucial for stimulating spending, particularly in the property market, where a shift from primary to secondary demand is noted amid concerns over price stability and project quality.
UBS maintains that China remains appealing to foreign investors despite economic uncertainties, forecasting a 6% rise in the Shanghai Composite index by 2025, driven by non-financial sectors. The firm anticipates interest rate cuts by the People's Bank of China and government measures to stimulate the property market.Confidence among corporate executives and consumers is crucial for future spending and investment. In the property sector, buyers are cautious due to concerns over falling prices and project quality, prompting a shift in demand from primary to secondary markets.
UBS's Thomas Fang highlights the need for concrete policy measures to boost China's economy amid persistent deflation and declining consumption. While global investors seek clarity and confidence, Fang emphasizes a focus on demand-driven strategies and the importance of timely policy implementation to restore market stability. He remains optimistic about China's recovery potential by 2025.
China's GDP grew by 4.8% in the first three quarters of the year, surpassing expectations, though it still requires a push to reach the 5% target. UBS's Thomas Fang expressed optimism following recent policy measures aimed at stimulating the economy, anticipating potential growth above 5% for 2024.
Thomas Fang from UBS and David Kuo of The Smart Investor engaged in a discussion regarding the Chinese Finance Minister's recent press conference. They focused on the anticipated fiscal stimulus and its potential effects on China's struggling housing market.
Thomas Fang
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